Many hoped at the beginning of the pandemic on the expected higher temperatures in the summer months.
Because, as is known, many viruses spread much more slowly at higher humidity and warmer temperatures.
The Flu season is the Winter.
A scientific study under the direction of Rachel E. Baker was now able to bring new insights to the climatic dependence of the SARS-COV-2.
Expected Corona-infections in the summer
So far it was not known how the spread of the SARS-COV is influenced 2 by climatic conditions. For related corona virus data existed, however, already do this.
Two of these viruses, the beta corona virus-genus are also included. The existing data could therefore help to simulate the potential spread of the novel Coronavirus under different climatic conditions.
Also, differences in geographic location were considered in this case.
A third factor is the immunity of the population to an advanced stage of the pandemic.
Other crucial factors such as population density, however, were not taken into account.
Weather takes probably no decisive influence
The summer will not bring about hoped-for slowdown in the spread, so the conclusion of the research team.
The Simulation showed that humidity and temperature do not significantly affect the spread of the Coronavirus’.
To Flattening of the first wave of Infection, it is assumed that there are seasonal highlights. The climate is, however, only in the strength of the expression and the period of a pandemic outbreak of a role.
Immunity of the population is clearly more important
The immunity of the population will be of much greater significance for the further spread of the novel Coronavirus’.
The researchers believe that their results are most likely to larger cities, while in rural areas of delays of the outbreaks is to be expected.
- Baker, R. et al. (2020): Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, retrieved on 01.06.2020 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/05/15/science.abc2535
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